تحلیل پیشران‌های توسعه فضایی منطقه کلانشهری اصفهان

Urban growth and development have undergone a lot of change and transformation due to the passage of time. If this process is realized based on a systematic and planned structure, a very favorable phenomenon will occur at the city and region level. But if the development is only due to the tendency of local residents and If non-native is formed in an unplanned way, it can leave negative consequences on the macro structure of the region. Because by affecting the performance of subsystems of the natural, social, economic, and physical-spatial environment and urban management; It will leave unpredictable trends for policymakers and planners. Thus, there is a need for a comprehensive approach to examine and analyze the spatial and physical development of urban and regional centers; which can be obtained by analyzing drivers of spatial development of planning areas. The metropolitan area of Isfahan has a rich history due to the establishment of the city of Isfahan, the process of its spatial development has caused increased concern in the subsystems of natural and environmental, economic, community and population, physical-spatial, management, and decision-making systems. Thus, the main goal of the current research is to extract the drivers of development and evaluate its effects on the spatial development structure of the Isfahan metropolitan area. At first, development drivers were identified by collecting drivers based on internal and external study variables (articles and spatial development plans) and designing a questionnaire regarding their importance based on targeted sampling. In the next step, the certainty, uncertainty, and influence of the selected drivers in the spatial development of the Isfahan metropolitan area have been evaluated by using MicMac software. Finally, the uncertainties of Isfahan metropolis as the center of economic development, centripetal and centrifugal force in physical changes, density and concentration of activity and performance centers, the development pattern of urban and rural centers, regional decision-making system were identified as the most essential components of the development of Isfahan metropolitan area. And in line with its spatial consequences on the macro structure of the study area; Suggestions regarding reducing spatial concentration, the spatial balance of the region, and spatial development policies have been presented.















Urban growth and development have undergone a lot of change and transformation due to the passage of time. If this process is realized based on a systematic and planned structure, a very favorable phenomenon will occur at the city and region level. But if the development is only due to the tendency of residents and If non-native is formed in an unplanned way, it can leave negative consequences on the macrostructure of the region. Because by affecting the performance of subsystems of the natural, social, economic, and physical-spatial environment and urban management; It will leave unpredictable trends for policymakers and planners. Thus, there is a need for a comprehensive approach to examine and analyze the spatial and physical development of urban and regional centers; which can be obtained by analyzing drivers of spatial development of planning areas. The metropolitan area of Isfahan has a rich history due to the establishment of the city of Isfahan, the process of its spatial development has caused increased concern in the subsystems of natural and environmental, economic, community and population, physical-spatial, management, and decision-making systems. Thus, the main goal of the current research is to extract the drivers of development and evaluate its effects on the spatial development structure of the Isfahan metropolitan area. At first, development drivers were identified by collecting drivers based on internal and external study variables (articles and spatial development plans) and designing a questionnaire regarding their importance based on targeted sampling. In the next step, the certainty, uncertainty, and influence of the selected drivers in the spatial development of the Isfahan metropolitan area have been evaluated by using MicMac software. Finally, the uncertainties of Isfahan metropolis as the center of economic development, centripetal and centrifugal force in physical changes, density and concentration of activity and performance centers, the development pattern of urban and rural centers, regional decision-making system were identified as the most essential components of the development of Isfahan metropolitan area.